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Predictive value of progesterone receptor in advanced-stage breast cancer patients treated with CDK4/6 inhibitors

Year 2025, Volume: 7 Issue: 3, 375 - 383, 30.05.2025
https://doi.org/10.38053/acmj.1670333

Abstract

Aims: Phase III studies investigating CDK 4/6 inhibitors have failed to identify significant predictive or prognostic markers that aid clinicians in therapeutic decision-making. Given the complex treatment landscape in breast cancer, identifying patient and tumor characteristics that optimize the utilization of CDK 4/6 inhibitors across diverse therapeutic approaches is crucial. In our study, we aimed to evaluate the predictive role of progesterone receptor (PR) expression levels in patients with estrogen receptor
(ER)-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative advanced-stage breast cancer treated with CDK 4/6 inhibitors.
Methods: This study retrospectively evaluated 244 patients who received a combination of CDK 4/6 inhibitors and endocrine therapy as their first-line treatment. Those with PR levels below 20% were designated as low PR expression patients, and those with levels of 20% or above were classified as high PR expression patients. These two groups were compared in terms of demographic characteristics and progression-free survival (PFS).
Results: Progression events occurred in 37 of 83 patients in the low PR expression group and 55 of 161 patients in the high PR expression group. Patients with low PR expression demonstrated a significantly shorter median PFS of 23.13 months (95% CI, 15.67-30.59) compared to those with high PR expression, who exhibited a median PFS of 34.66 months (95% CI, 24.2745.05) (p=0.002). This significant difference in mPFS was observed consistently across both ribociclib (p=0.034) and palbociclib (p=0.024) treatment groups.
Conclusion: This study suggests that PR expression may also predict disease progression in patients initiating CDK 4/6 inhibitors and endocrine therapy in addition to ER levels. While these findings are promising, further research is warranted to validate them in more extensive, prospective studies.

Ethical Statement

This retrospective study was conducted in accordance with recognized ethical standards, including the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki, and received approval from the Dr. Abdurrahman Yurtaslan Ankara Oncology Training and Research Hospital Non-Interventional Clinical Research Ethics Committee (Approval No: 2024-02/04). The Ethics Committee waived the requirement for informed consent, as the study was retrospective and non-interventional, and deemed that obtaining consent was unnecessary in accordance with national regulations.

References

  • Hammond ME, Hayes DF, Dowsett M, et al. American Society of Clinical Oncology/College Of American Pathologists guideline recommendations for immunohistochemical testing of estrogen and progesterone receptors in breast cancer J Clin Oncol. 2010;28(16):2784-2795. doi:10.1200/JCO.2009.25.6529
  • Group EBCTC. Relevance of breast cancer hormone receptors and other factors to the efficacy of adjuvant tamoxifen: patient-level meta-analysis of randomised trials. Lancet. 2011;378(9793):771-784. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60993-8
  • Nordenskjöld A, Fohlin H, Fornander T, Löfdahl B, Skoog L, Stål O. Progesterone receptor positivity is a predictor of long-term benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen treatment of estrogen receptor positive breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2016;160(2):313-322. doi:10.1007/s10549-016-4007-5
  • Finn RS, Martin M, Rugo HS, et al. Palbociclib and letrozole in advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(20):1925-1936. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1607303
  • Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Updated results from MONALEESA-2, a phase III trial of first-line ribociclib plus letrozole versus placebo plus letrozole in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer Ann Oncol. 2018;29(7):1541-1547. doi: 10.1093/annonc/mdy155
  • Goetz MP, Toi M, Campone M, et al. MONARCH 3: abemaciclib as ınitial therapy for advanced breast cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2017;35(32):3638-3646. doi:10.1200/JCO.2017.75.6155
  • Gao JJ, Cheng J, Bloomquist E, et al. CDK4/6 inhibitor treatment for patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, advanced or metastatic breast cancer: a US Food and Drug Administration pooled analysis. Lancet Oncol. 2020;21(2):250-260. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(19) 30804-6
  • Spring LM, Zangardi ML, Moy B, Bardia A. Clinical management of potential toxicities and drug interactions related to cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors in breast cancer: practical considerations and recommendations. Oncologist. 2017;22(9):1039-1048. doi:10.1634/theoncologist.2017-0142
  • Prat A, Cheang MC, Martín M, et al. Prognostic significance of progesterone receptor-positive tumor cells within immunohistochemically defined luminal A breast cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2013;31(2):203-209. doi:10.1200/JCO.2012.43.4134
  • Cardoso F, Senkus E, Costa A, et al. 4th ESO-ESMO ınternational consensus guidelines for advanced breast cancer (ABC 4)†. Ann Oncol. 2018;29(8):1634-1657. doi:10.1093/annonc/mdy192
  • Van Asten K, Slembrouck L, Olbrecht S, et al. Prognostic value of the progesterone receptor by subtype in patients with estrogen receptor-positive, HER-2 negative breast cancer. Oncologist. 2019;24(2):165-171. doi:10.1634/theoncologist.2018-0176
  • Bae SY, Kim S, Lee JH, et al. Poor prognosis of single hormone receptor- positive breast cancer: similar outcome as triple-negative breast cancer. BMC Cancer. 2015;15:138. doi:10.1186/s12885-015-1121-4
  • Goldhirsch A, Winer EP, Coates AS, et al. Personalizing the treatment of women with early breast cancer: highlights of the St Gallen International Expert Consensus on the primary therapy of early breast cancer 2013. Ann Oncol. 2013;24(9):2206-2223. doi:10.1093/annonc/mdt303
  • Xiao Y, Li J, Wu Z, Zhang X, Ming J. Influence of progesterone receptor on metastasis and prognosis in breast cancer patients with negative HER-2. Gland Surg. 2022;11(1):77-90. doi:10.21037/gs-21-677
  • Arciero CA, Guo Y, Jiang R, et al. ER+/HER2+ breast cancer has different metastatic patterns and better survival than ER-/HER2+ breast cancer. Clin Breast Cancer. 2019;19(4):236-245. doi:10.1016/j.clbc.2019. 02.001
  • Elledge RM, Green S, Pugh R, et al. Estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR), by ligand-binding assay compared with ER, PgR and pS2, by immuno-histochemistry in predicting response to tamoxifen in metastatic breast cancer: a Southwest Oncology Group Study. Int J Cancer. 2000;89(2):111-117. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0215 (20000320)89:2<111::AID-IJC2>3.0.CO;2-W
  • Bardou VJ, Arpino G, Elledge RM, Osborne CK, Clark GM. Progesterone receptor status significantly improves outcome prediction over estrogen receptor status alone for adjuvant endocrine therapy in two large breast cancer databases. J Clin Oncol. 2003;21(10):1973-1979. doi:10.1200/JCO. 2003.09.099
  • Rocca A, Farolfi A, Maltoni R, et al. Efficacy of endocrine therapy in relation to progesterone receptor and Ki67 expression in advanced breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2015;152(1):57-65. doi:10.1007/s10549-015-3423-2
  • Arima N, Nishimura R, Osako T, et al. Ki-67 index value and progesterone receptor status can predict prognosis and suitable treatment in node-negative breast cancer patients with estrogen receptor-positive and HER2-negative tumors. Oncol Lett. 2019;17(1):616-622. doi:10.3892/ol. 2018.9633
  • Fang H, Huang D, Yang F, Guan X. Potential biomarkers of CDK4/6 inhibitors in hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2018;168(2):287-297. doi:10.1007/s10549-017-4612-y
  • Pandey K, An HJ, Kim SK, et al. Molecular mechanisms of resistance to CDK4/6 inhibitors in breast cancer: a review. Int J Cancer. 2019;145(5): 1179-1188. doi:10.1002/ijc.32020
  • Turner NC, Ro J, André F, et al. Palbociclib in hormone-receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2015;373(3):209-219. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1505270
  • Cristofanilli M, Turner NC, Bondarenko I, et al. Fulvestrant plus palbociclib versus fulvestrant plus placebo for treatment of hormone-receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer that progressed on previous endocrine therapy (PALOMA-3): final analysis of the multicentre, double-blind, phase 3 randomised controlled trial Lancet Oncol. 2016;17(4):425-439. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(15) 00613-0
  • Cristofanilli M, DeMichele A, Giorgetti C, et al. Predictors of prolonged benefit from palbociclib plus fulvestrant in women with endocrine-resistant hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer in PALOMA-3. Eur J Cancer. 2018;104:21-31. doi:10.1016/j.ejca.2018.08.011
  • Gharib KE, Macaron W, Kattan J, et al. Palbociclib and letrozole in hormone-receptor positive advanced breast cancer: predictive response and prognostic factors. Curr Probl Cancer. 2022;46(3):100859. doi:10. 1016/j.currproblcancer.2022.100859
  • Tang H, Yeo D, De Souza K, et al. Clinical impact of CDK4/6 inhibitors in De Novo or PR- or very elderly post-menopausal ER+/HER2- Advanced breast cancers. Cancers (Basel). 2023;15(21):5164. doi:10.3390/cancers 15215164
  • Palleschi M, Maltoni R, Ravaioli S, et al. Ki67 and PR in patients treated with cdk4/6 inhibitors: a real-world experience. Diagnostics (Basel). 2020;10(8):573. doi:10.3390/diagnostics10080573
  • Shao X, Zheng Y, Cao W, et al. Ki67 and progesterone receptor status predicts sensitivity to palbociclib: a real-world study. Ann Transl Med. 2021;9(8):707. doi:10.21037/atm-21-1340
Year 2025, Volume: 7 Issue: 3, 375 - 383, 30.05.2025
https://doi.org/10.38053/acmj.1670333

Abstract

References

  • Hammond ME, Hayes DF, Dowsett M, et al. American Society of Clinical Oncology/College Of American Pathologists guideline recommendations for immunohistochemical testing of estrogen and progesterone receptors in breast cancer J Clin Oncol. 2010;28(16):2784-2795. doi:10.1200/JCO.2009.25.6529
  • Group EBCTC. Relevance of breast cancer hormone receptors and other factors to the efficacy of adjuvant tamoxifen: patient-level meta-analysis of randomised trials. Lancet. 2011;378(9793):771-784. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60993-8
  • Nordenskjöld A, Fohlin H, Fornander T, Löfdahl B, Skoog L, Stål O. Progesterone receptor positivity is a predictor of long-term benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen treatment of estrogen receptor positive breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2016;160(2):313-322. doi:10.1007/s10549-016-4007-5
  • Finn RS, Martin M, Rugo HS, et al. Palbociclib and letrozole in advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(20):1925-1936. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1607303
  • Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, et al. Updated results from MONALEESA-2, a phase III trial of first-line ribociclib plus letrozole versus placebo plus letrozole in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer Ann Oncol. 2018;29(7):1541-1547. doi: 10.1093/annonc/mdy155
  • Goetz MP, Toi M, Campone M, et al. MONARCH 3: abemaciclib as ınitial therapy for advanced breast cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2017;35(32):3638-3646. doi:10.1200/JCO.2017.75.6155
  • Gao JJ, Cheng J, Bloomquist E, et al. CDK4/6 inhibitor treatment for patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, advanced or metastatic breast cancer: a US Food and Drug Administration pooled analysis. Lancet Oncol. 2020;21(2):250-260. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(19) 30804-6
  • Spring LM, Zangardi ML, Moy B, Bardia A. Clinical management of potential toxicities and drug interactions related to cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors in breast cancer: practical considerations and recommendations. Oncologist. 2017;22(9):1039-1048. doi:10.1634/theoncologist.2017-0142
  • Prat A, Cheang MC, Martín M, et al. Prognostic significance of progesterone receptor-positive tumor cells within immunohistochemically defined luminal A breast cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2013;31(2):203-209. doi:10.1200/JCO.2012.43.4134
  • Cardoso F, Senkus E, Costa A, et al. 4th ESO-ESMO ınternational consensus guidelines for advanced breast cancer (ABC 4)†. Ann Oncol. 2018;29(8):1634-1657. doi:10.1093/annonc/mdy192
  • Van Asten K, Slembrouck L, Olbrecht S, et al. Prognostic value of the progesterone receptor by subtype in patients with estrogen receptor-positive, HER-2 negative breast cancer. Oncologist. 2019;24(2):165-171. doi:10.1634/theoncologist.2018-0176
  • Bae SY, Kim S, Lee JH, et al. Poor prognosis of single hormone receptor- positive breast cancer: similar outcome as triple-negative breast cancer. BMC Cancer. 2015;15:138. doi:10.1186/s12885-015-1121-4
  • Goldhirsch A, Winer EP, Coates AS, et al. Personalizing the treatment of women with early breast cancer: highlights of the St Gallen International Expert Consensus on the primary therapy of early breast cancer 2013. Ann Oncol. 2013;24(9):2206-2223. doi:10.1093/annonc/mdt303
  • Xiao Y, Li J, Wu Z, Zhang X, Ming J. Influence of progesterone receptor on metastasis and prognosis in breast cancer patients with negative HER-2. Gland Surg. 2022;11(1):77-90. doi:10.21037/gs-21-677
  • Arciero CA, Guo Y, Jiang R, et al. ER+/HER2+ breast cancer has different metastatic patterns and better survival than ER-/HER2+ breast cancer. Clin Breast Cancer. 2019;19(4):236-245. doi:10.1016/j.clbc.2019. 02.001
  • Elledge RM, Green S, Pugh R, et al. Estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR), by ligand-binding assay compared with ER, PgR and pS2, by immuno-histochemistry in predicting response to tamoxifen in metastatic breast cancer: a Southwest Oncology Group Study. Int J Cancer. 2000;89(2):111-117. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0215 (20000320)89:2<111::AID-IJC2>3.0.CO;2-W
  • Bardou VJ, Arpino G, Elledge RM, Osborne CK, Clark GM. Progesterone receptor status significantly improves outcome prediction over estrogen receptor status alone for adjuvant endocrine therapy in two large breast cancer databases. J Clin Oncol. 2003;21(10):1973-1979. doi:10.1200/JCO. 2003.09.099
  • Rocca A, Farolfi A, Maltoni R, et al. Efficacy of endocrine therapy in relation to progesterone receptor and Ki67 expression in advanced breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2015;152(1):57-65. doi:10.1007/s10549-015-3423-2
  • Arima N, Nishimura R, Osako T, et al. Ki-67 index value and progesterone receptor status can predict prognosis and suitable treatment in node-negative breast cancer patients with estrogen receptor-positive and HER2-negative tumors. Oncol Lett. 2019;17(1):616-622. doi:10.3892/ol. 2018.9633
  • Fang H, Huang D, Yang F, Guan X. Potential biomarkers of CDK4/6 inhibitors in hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2018;168(2):287-297. doi:10.1007/s10549-017-4612-y
  • Pandey K, An HJ, Kim SK, et al. Molecular mechanisms of resistance to CDK4/6 inhibitors in breast cancer: a review. Int J Cancer. 2019;145(5): 1179-1188. doi:10.1002/ijc.32020
  • Turner NC, Ro J, André F, et al. Palbociclib in hormone-receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2015;373(3):209-219. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1505270
  • Cristofanilli M, Turner NC, Bondarenko I, et al. Fulvestrant plus palbociclib versus fulvestrant plus placebo for treatment of hormone-receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer that progressed on previous endocrine therapy (PALOMA-3): final analysis of the multicentre, double-blind, phase 3 randomised controlled trial Lancet Oncol. 2016;17(4):425-439. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(15) 00613-0
  • Cristofanilli M, DeMichele A, Giorgetti C, et al. Predictors of prolonged benefit from palbociclib plus fulvestrant in women with endocrine-resistant hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer in PALOMA-3. Eur J Cancer. 2018;104:21-31. doi:10.1016/j.ejca.2018.08.011
  • Gharib KE, Macaron W, Kattan J, et al. Palbociclib and letrozole in hormone-receptor positive advanced breast cancer: predictive response and prognostic factors. Curr Probl Cancer. 2022;46(3):100859. doi:10. 1016/j.currproblcancer.2022.100859
  • Tang H, Yeo D, De Souza K, et al. Clinical impact of CDK4/6 inhibitors in De Novo or PR- or very elderly post-menopausal ER+/HER2- Advanced breast cancers. Cancers (Basel). 2023;15(21):5164. doi:10.3390/cancers 15215164
  • Palleschi M, Maltoni R, Ravaioli S, et al. Ki67 and PR in patients treated with cdk4/6 inhibitors: a real-world experience. Diagnostics (Basel). 2020;10(8):573. doi:10.3390/diagnostics10080573
  • Shao X, Zheng Y, Cao W, et al. Ki67 and progesterone receptor status predicts sensitivity to palbociclib: a real-world study. Ann Transl Med. 2021;9(8):707. doi:10.21037/atm-21-1340
There are 28 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Clinical Oncology
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

İrem Öner 0000-0001-9486-6187

Bediz Kurt İnci 0000-0002-6238-0534

Pınar Kubilay Tolunay 0000-0003-2636-5326

Berkan Karabuğa 0000-0001-5357-7610

Alper Türkel 0000-0001-5071-9679

Öztürk Ateş 0000-0003-0182-3933

Cengiz Karaçin 0000-0002-7310-9328

Publication Date May 30, 2025
Submission Date April 5, 2025
Acceptance Date May 29, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 7 Issue: 3

Cite

AMA Öner İ, Kurt İnci B, Kubilay Tolunay P, Karabuğa B, Türkel A, Ateş Ö, Karaçin C. Predictive value of progesterone receptor in advanced-stage breast cancer patients treated with CDK4/6 inhibitors. Anatolian Curr Med J / ACMJ / acmj. May 2025;7(3):375-383. doi:10.38053/acmj.1670333

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