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İHRACATA DAYALI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR BÜYÜME STRATEJİSİNDE LOJİSTİK SEKTÖRÜNÜN ROLÜ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Year 2025, Volume: 34 Issue: 1, 482 - 504, 30.04.2025

Muhammed Turgut , Sefa Özbek

https://doi.org/10.35379/cusosbil.1525553

Abstract

Ticari ve finansal serbestleşme adımlarının hızlanmasıyla birlikte küreselleşme dönemi derinleşmeye başlamıştır. Küreselleşme döneminde gerçekleşen bu derinleşme sonucunda gerek dış ticaret gerekse lojistik sektörünün hacminde ciddi artışlar meydana gelmiştir. Küreselleşme, dış ticaret, sermaye akışları ve teknolojik transfer yoluyla ekonomik büyümeyi teşvik edebilmektedir. Dolayısıyla küreselleşme sürecinde ihracat ve lojistik faaliyetler ile ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi önemli hale gelmeye başlamıştır. Bu çalışma gerek karşılaştırmalı ampirik metodolojinin kullanılması gerekse ihracata dayalı büyüme hipotezi ile sürdürülebilirlik sürecinin birlikte ele alınması ile diğer çalışmalardan ayrışmaktadır. Bu çalışmada Türkiye ekonomisinde 1990-2022 döneminde ihracata dayalı büyüme hipotezi ve ekonomik büyüme lojistik sektörünün rolü araştırılmaktadır. Bu kapsamda ekonomik büyüme, ihracat, lojistik, doğrudan yabancı yatırım ve ekolojik ayak izi değişkenlerinden yararlanılmıştır. Ampirik yöntem olarak geleneksel ve güncel yöntemlerden yararlanılmaktadır. Bu bağlamda ADF ve PP birim kök testlerinin yanında KPSS ve Fourier KPSS durağanlık testleri kullanılmaktadır. Koentegre ilişkinin tespitinde ise Shin ve Fourier Shin koentegrasyon testlerinden yararlanılmaktadır. Koentegrasyon tahmincisi olarak ise FMOLS, DOLS ve CCR yöntemleri kullanılmaktadır. Çalışmada ekonomik büyümenin sürdürülebilirliği açısından çevresel bozulmanın azaltılmasının önemine yönelik ön bulgulara ulaşılmıştır. Diğer bir bulgu, ilgili örneklem döneminde Türkiye’de ihracata dayalı büyüme hipotezinin geçerliliğini ve lojistik sektörünün ekonomik büyümeyi pozitif yönde etkilediğini ortaya koymuştur.

Keywords

İhracat Lojistik Ekonomik Büyüme Ekolojik Ayak İzi Fourier Shin Koentegrasyon

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THE ROLE OF THE LOGISTICS SECTOR IN EXPORT-LED SUSTAINABLE GROWTH STRATEGY: THE CASE OF TÜRKİYE

Year 2025, Volume: 34 Issue: 1, 482 - 504, 30.04.2025

Muhammed Turgut , Sefa Özbek

https://doi.org/10.35379/cusosbil.1525553

Abstract

With the acceleration of commercial and financial liberalization steps, the globalization period has begun to deepen. As a result of this deepening in the globalization period, there have been significant increases in the volume of both foreign trade and the logistics sector. Globalization can promote economic growth through foreign trade, capital flows and technological transfer. Therefore, the relationship between export activities,logistics,and economic growth has gained importance during the globalization process. This study differs from other studies by using the comparative empirical methodology with the export-led growth hypothesis and the sustainability process together. In this study, the export-led growth hypothesis and the role of the logistics sector in economic growth in the Turkish economy in the period 1990-2022 are investigated. In this context, economic growth, export, logistics, foreign direct investment and ecological footprint variables were analyzed. Traditional and current methods are used as empirical methods. In this context, ADF and PP unit root tests,as well as KPSS and Fourier KPSS stationarity tests, are utilized. Shin and Fourier Shin cointegration tests are used to determine the cointegrated relationship. FMOLS, DOLS and CCR methods are used as cointegration estimators. Preliminary findings highlight the importance of reducing environmental degradation in terms of sustainability of economic growth. Another finding has revealed the validity of the export-led growth hypothesis and shows that the logistics sector positively affects economic growth during the analyzed period in Turkey.

Keywords

Export Logistics Economic Growth Ecological Footprint Fourier Shin Cointegration

References

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  • Becker, R., Enders, W. ve Lee, J. (2006). A Stationarity test in the presence of an unknown number of smooth breaks. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 27(3), 381-409.
  • Bensassi, S., Márquez-Ramos, L., Martínez-Zarzoso, I., & Suárez-Burguet, C. (2015). Relationship between logistics infrastructure and trade: Evidence from Spanish regional exports. Transportation research part A: policy and practice, 72, 47-61.
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  • Iamsiraroj, S. (2016). The foreign direct investment–economic growth nexus. International Review of Economics & Finance, 42, 116-133.
  • Kalaitzi, A. S., & Chamberlain, T. W. (2021). The validity of the export-led growth hypothesis: some evidence from the GCC. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 30(2), 224-245.
  • Karataş, A. R., & Ergül, M. (2023). Türkiye’de ekonomik büyüme, finansal gelişme ve ticari açıklık: genişletilmiş ARDL ile kanıtlar. Necmettin Erbakan Üniversitesi Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi Dergisi, 5(Özel Sayı), 222-236.
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  • Kollie, G. B. (2020). Export-led growth hypothesis in ECOWAS: A panel data analysis. African Journal of Economic Review, 8(2), 258-275.
  • Khadim, Z., Batool, I., Akbar, A., Poulova, P., & Akbar, M. (2021). Mapping the moderating role of logistics performance of logistics infrastructure on economic growth in developing countries. Economies, 9(4), 177.
  • Kuzu, S., & Önder, E. (2014). Research into the long-run relationship between logistics development and economic growth in Turkey. Journal of Logistics Management, 3(1), 11-16.
  • Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C., Schmidt, P., & Shin, Y. (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: how sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?. Journal of Econometrics, 54(1-3), 159-178.
  • Lean, H. H., Huang, W., & Hong, J. (2014). Logistics and economic development: Experience from China. Transport policy, 32, 96-104.
  • Li, X., & Chen, F. (2021). Impact of logistics development on economic growth: An empirical research from guangdong province in China. Complexity, 2021(1), 9950935.
  • Limao, N., & Venables, A. J. (2001). Infrastructure, geographical disadvantage, transport costs, and trade. The world bank economic review, 15(3), 451-479.
  • Lindsey, R. (2024). Climate change: atmospheric carbon dioxide, https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide Erişim Tarihi: 11.06.2024
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  • LPI. (2023). Logistics performance index, https://lpi.worldbank.org/international/global Erişim Tarihi: 30.05.2024
  • Malhotra, G., & Mishra, S. (2019). Effect of economic growth on the logistics sector in India. Theoretical Economics Letters, 9(1), 210-222.
  • Mariano, E. B., Gobbo Jr, J. A., de Castro Camioto, F., & do Nascimento Rebelatto, D. A. (2017). CO2 emissions and logistics performance: a composite index proposal. Journal of Cleaner Production, 163, 166-178.
  • Marti, L., Puertas, R., & García, L. (2014). Relevance of trade facilitation in emerging countries' exports. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 23(2), 202-222.
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There are 72 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects International Economics (Other)
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Muhammed Turgut 0000-0002-0868-7041

Sefa Özbek 0000-0002-1043-2056

Publication Date April 30, 2025
Submission Date July 31, 2024
Acceptance Date January 6, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 34 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Turgut, M., & Özbek, S. (2025). İHRACATA DAYALI SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR BÜYÜME STRATEJİSİNDE LOJİSTİK SEKTÖRÜNÜN ROLÜ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. Çukurova Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 34(1), 482-504. https://doi.org/10.35379/cusosbil.1525553
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