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Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi

Year 2025, Volume: 10 Issue: 2, 144 - 156

Samet Berber

https://doi.org/10.29128/geomatik.1589807

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Erzurum iline bağlı Tortum ile Narman arasındaki bölgenin heyelan duyarlılığı, Kanıt Ağırlığı (WoE) yöntemi kullanılarak değerlendirilmiştir. İlk aşamada, yapılan saha çalışmalarıyla bölgenin heyelan envanteri oluşturulmuş ve heyelan oluşumuna etki eden 11 adet parametre belirlenmiştir. Saha araştırmaları sonucunda toplam 89 adet heyelan haritalanmıştır. Heyelan duyarlılık haritasının üretiminde kullanılan girdi parametreleri; eğim, bakı, arazi kullanımı, profil eğriselliği, plan eğriselliği, topografik nemlilik indeksi, normalize edilmiş bitki örtüsü indeksi, yükseklik, litoloji, akarsu aşındırma gücü indeksi ve akarsulara mesafedir. Bu parametreler seçildikten sonra, her parametrenin alt sınıfları için kanıt ağırlığı hesaplamaları gerçekleştirilmiştir. Sonraki aşamada, parametre haritaları sayısal ortamda analiz edilerek, bölgeye ait heyelan duyarlılık haritası oluşturulmuş ve göreceli olarak beş sınıfa ayrılmıştır. Sonuç olarak, elde edilen haritada çalışma alanının %3.94'ü çok düşük, %17.92'si düşük, %35.58'i orta, %35.84'ü yüksek ve %6.72'si çok yüksek heyelan duyarlılığına sahip olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Heyelan duyarlılık haritasının performans değerlendirmesinde Doğruluk (Accuracy), Geri Çağırma (Recall), Hassasiyet (Precision), F1 Puanı ve ROC eğrisi kriterleri kullanılmıştır. Bu kriterler için sırasıyla 0.673, 0.802, 0.638, 0.710 ve 0.722 değerleri hesaplanmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlar, üretilen heyelan duyarlılık haritasının afet yönetimi ve planlaması çalışmalarına entegre edilebileceğini göstermektedir.

Keywords

Kanıt Ağırlığı Heyelan duyarlılığı Erzurum Doğruluk ROC eğrisi

Project Number

2023/217

References

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Year 2025, Volume: 10 Issue: 2, 144 - 156

Samet Berber

https://doi.org/10.29128/geomatik.1589807

Abstract

Project Number

2023/217

References

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  • Akıncı, H., Özalp, A.Y., Özalp, M., Kılıçer, S.T., Kılıçoğlu, C., Everan, E. (2015). Production of Landslide Susceptibility Map Using Bayesian Probability Model. International Journal of 3-D Information Modeling, 4(2), 16-33, Septemper 2015.
  • Aleotti, P., & Chowdhury, R. (1999). Landslide hazard assessments: Summary review and new perspective. Bulletin of Engineering Geology of the Environment, 58, 21-44
  • Aydoğan, E., & Dağ, S. (2023). İstatistiksel Yöntemlerle Yukarı Karasu Havzası'nın Kuzeydoğu Bölümünün (Erzurum) Heyelan Duyarlılık Analizi. Turkish Journal of Remote Sensing and GIS, 4(1), 64-82. https://doi.org/10.48123/rsgis.1202140
  • Batar, A.K., & Watanabe, T. (2021). Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Assessment Using Geospatial Platforms and Weights of Evidence (WoE) Method in the Indian Himalayan Region: Recent Developments, Gaps, and Future Directions. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 10 (3),114. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi10030114
  • Başara, A. C., & Şişman, Y. (2021). Landslide susceptibility mapping of Tokat (Turkey) province using weight of evidence and random forest. Advanced GIS, 1(1), 1–7. Retrieved from.
  • Başara, A.C., Tabar, M.E., & Şişman, Y. (2021). Landslide Susceptibility Mapping of Samsun (Turkey) Province Using Frequency Ratio and AHP Methods. Türkiye Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri Dergisi, 3(1), 24-30.
  • Başara, A.C., & Şişman, Y. (2022). Frekans oranı, Kanıt Ağırlığı ve Lojistik Regresyon Yöntemleri Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılık Haritalarının CBS Tabanlı Karşılaştırılması. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, 11 (3), 647-660. https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.1065284
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  • Bonham-Carter, G.F., Agterberg, F.P., Wright, D.F. (1988). Integration of geological datasets for gold exploration in Nova Scotia. Photogramm Eng Remote Sensing 54,1585–1592
  • Bonham-Carter, G.F., Agterberg, F.P., & Wright, D.F. (1989). Weights of evidence modelling: a new approach to mapping mineral potential. Statistical applications in the earth science, geological survey of Canada, 89(9), 171–183
  • Chen, T., Niu, R., & Jia, X. (2016). A comparison of information value and logistic regression models in landslide susceptibility mapping by using GIS. Environmental Earth Sciences, 75, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-016-5317-y
  • Chen, W., Sun, Z., & Han, J. (2019). Landslide susceptibility modeling using integrated ensemble weights of evidence with logistic regression and random forest models. Applied sciences, 9(1), 171. https://doi.org/10.3390/app9010171
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  • Çiftçi,H.,& Kuşak,L.(2021). Determination of unsuitability points on the route of Van Gölü-Kapıköy railway line by using GIS and AHP method. Advanced GIS,1(1), 27-36.
  • Dehnavi, A., Aghdam, I.N., Pradhan, B., & Varzandeh, M.H.M. (2015). A new hybrid model using step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA) technique and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for regional landslide hazard assessment in Iran. Catena, 135, 122-148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2015.07.020
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There are 66 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Geospatial Information Systems and Geospatial Data Modelling
Journal Section Araştırma Makalesi
Authors

Samet Berber 0000-0002-8747-9346

Project Number 2023/217
Early Pub Date January 21, 2025
Publication Date
Submission Date November 22, 2024
Acceptance Date December 30, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 10 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Berber, S. (2025). Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi. Geomatik, 10(2), 144-156. https://doi.org/10.29128/geomatik.1589807
AMA Berber S. Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi. Geomatik. January 2025;10(2):144-156. doi:10.29128/geomatik.1589807
Chicago Berber, Samet. “Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi”. Geomatik 10, no. 2 (January 2025): 144-56. https://doi.org/10.29128/geomatik.1589807.
EndNote Berber S (January 1, 2025) Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi. Geomatik 10 2 144–156.
IEEE S. Berber, “Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi”, Geomatik, vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 144–156, 2025, doi: 10.29128/geomatik.1589807.
ISNAD Berber, Samet. “Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi”. Geomatik 10/2 (January 2025), 144-156. https://doi.org/10.29128/geomatik.1589807.
JAMA Berber S. Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi. Geomatik. 2025;10:144–156.
MLA Berber, Samet. “Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi”. Geomatik, vol. 10, no. 2, 2025, pp. 144-56, doi:10.29128/geomatik.1589807.
Vancouver Berber S. Tortum-Narman (Erzurum) Bölgesinin Kanıt Ağırlığı Yaklaşımı Kullanılarak Heyelan Duyarlılığının Değerlendirilmesi. Geomatik. 2025;10(2):144-56.