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Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024)

Year 2025, Volume: 9 Issue: 1, 15 - 24

Abstract

Bu çalışma, Türkiye’nin güneybatısında yer alan Isparta ilinin 1929–2024 yılları arasındaki iklimsel dönüşümünü incelemektedir. Ortalama, minimum ve maksimum sıcaklık değerleri; yıllık toplam yağış, bağıl nem oranı ile yağışlı ve güneşli günlerin sayısına dayanan uzun dönemli meteorolojik veriler kullanılarak, küresel iklim değişiminin bölgesel yansımaları değerlendirilmiştir. Bulgular, özellikle ilkbahar ve yaz aylarında belirginleşen, kademeli ancak sürekli bir sıcaklık artışına işaret etmektedir. Ancak bu artışın lineer bir seyir izlemediği, dönemsel dalgalanmalarla birlikte ortaya çıktığı gözlemlenmiştir. Yağış miktarında belirgin bir artış ya da azalma saptanmamakla birlikte, yıllar arasında düzensiz dağılım ve ani değişimler dikkat çekmektedir. Bu durum, tarımsal üretim planlaması ve yeraltı su kaynaklarının sürdürülebilirliği açısından risk oluşturmaktadır. Nem oranındaki hafif düşüşler ve güneşlenme süresindeki değişimler, atmosferik denge koşullarında kayma yaşandığını düşündürmektedir. Ayrıca, don yaşanmayan gün sayısının artması, tarım ürünlerinin gelişim dönemleri ve zararlı popülasyonları üzerinde doğrudan etkili olabilir. Çalışmada her bir iklim değişkeni tek başına anlamlı bir trend göstermese de birlikte ele alındığında Isparta'nın kademeli bir iklimsel geçiş yaşadığı ortaya konmuştur. Elde edilen bulgular, bölgesel iklim uyum politikalarının geliştirilmesi açısından bilimsel zemin sunmakta ve iç bölgelerdeki iklimsel hassasiyetin anlaşılmasına katkı sağlamaktadır.

References

  • [1] Coumou, D., Rahmstorf, S. 2012. A decade of weather extremes. Nature Climate Change, 2(7), 491–496. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1452
  • [2] Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Zhou, B. 2021. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896
  • [3] Beniston, M., Stephenson, D. B., Christensen, O. B., Ferro, C. A. T., Frei, C., Goyette, S., Woth, K. 2007. Future extreme events in European climate: An exploration of regional climate model projections. Climatic Change, 81(S1), 71–95. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9226-z
  • [4] Deniz, A., Toros, H., Incecik, S. 2011. Spatial variations of climate indices in Turkey. International Journal of climatology, 31(3), 394-403.
  • [5] Aktaş, Ö. 2014. Impacts of climate change on water resources in Turkey. Environmental Engineering & Management Journal (EEMJ), 13(4).
  • [6] Chenoweth, J., Hadjinicolaou, P., Bruggeman, A., Lelieveld, J., Levin, Z., Lange, M. A., Hadjikakou, M. (2011). Impact of climate change on the water resources of the eastern Mediterranean and Middle East region: Modeled 21st century changes and implications. Water Resources Research, 47(6). https://doi.org/10.1029/2010WR010269
  • [7] Turkish State Meteorological Service (TSMS). (2024). Historical climate data for Isparta province [Data set]. Retrieved from https://www.mgm.gov.tr/. (accessed: 11 January 2025)

Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024)

Year 2025, Volume: 9 Issue: 1, 15 - 24

Abstract

This research investigates the century-long climatic evolution of Isparta, a key province in southwestern Turkey, by analyzing meteorological data from 1929 to 2024. Utilizing long-term records of temperature (mean, minimum, maximum), precipitation, relative humidity, and the annual distribution of rainy and sunny days, the study explores how global climate variability is reflected in Isparta’s local environmental conditions. The findings suggest that Isparta has experienced a subtle but persistent rise in mean temperatures, particularly evident during the spring and summer months. However, temperature increases were not uniform, and fluctuations often aligned with large-scale climate anomalies. Precipitation data, while not showing a significant linear trend, reveal growing unpredictability — including abrupt shifts between dry and wet years — complicating agricultural planning and groundwater recharge. A modest decline in humidity levels and changes in sunshine duration patterns were also detected, pointing to shifts in atmospheric stability. Notably, the number of frost-free days has increased, potentially affecting crop cycles and pest activity. Although most individual climate parameters did not display strong linear trends, their combined impact indicates a gradual climatic transition with tangible local consequences. This study underscores Isparta’s vulnerability as a transitional zone between Mediterranean and continental climate systems. By offering a localized and century-spanning climate profile, the research provides essential input for regional adaptation strategies in agriculture, ecosystem management, and urban development. The results contribute to broader efforts to understand climate dynamics in climatically diverse inland regions and highlight the need for forward-looking, place-based environmental policy.

References

  • [1] Coumou, D., Rahmstorf, S. 2012. A decade of weather extremes. Nature Climate Change, 2(7), 491–496. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1452
  • [2] Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Zhou, B. 2021. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896
  • [3] Beniston, M., Stephenson, D. B., Christensen, O. B., Ferro, C. A. T., Frei, C., Goyette, S., Woth, K. 2007. Future extreme events in European climate: An exploration of regional climate model projections. Climatic Change, 81(S1), 71–95. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9226-z
  • [4] Deniz, A., Toros, H., Incecik, S. 2011. Spatial variations of climate indices in Turkey. International Journal of climatology, 31(3), 394-403.
  • [5] Aktaş, Ö. 2014. Impacts of climate change on water resources in Turkey. Environmental Engineering & Management Journal (EEMJ), 13(4).
  • [6] Chenoweth, J., Hadjinicolaou, P., Bruggeman, A., Lelieveld, J., Levin, Z., Lange, M. A., Hadjikakou, M. (2011). Impact of climate change on the water resources of the eastern Mediterranean and Middle East region: Modeled 21st century changes and implications. Water Resources Research, 47(6). https://doi.org/10.1029/2010WR010269
  • [7] Turkish State Meteorological Service (TSMS). (2024). Historical climate data for Isparta province [Data set]. Retrieved from https://www.mgm.gov.tr/. (accessed: 11 January 2025)
There are 7 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Environmental Management (Other)
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Orhun Soydan 0000-0003-0723-921X

Early Pub Date June 23, 2025
Publication Date
Submission Date May 26, 2025
Acceptance Date June 4, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 9 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Soydan, O. (2025). Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024). Uluslararası Çevresel Eğilimler Dergisi, 9(1), 15-24.
AMA Soydan O. Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024). IJENT. June 2025;9(1):15-24.
Chicago Soydan, Orhun. “Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024)”. Uluslararası Çevresel Eğilimler Dergisi 9, no. 1 (June 2025): 15-24.
EndNote Soydan O (June 1, 2025) Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024). Uluslararası Çevresel Eğilimler Dergisi 9 1 15–24.
IEEE O. Soydan, “Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024)”, IJENT, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 15–24, 2025.
ISNAD Soydan, Orhun. “Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024)”. Uluslararası Çevresel Eğilimler Dergisi 9/1 (June 2025), 15-24.
JAMA Soydan O. Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024). IJENT. 2025;9:15–24.
MLA Soydan, Orhun. “Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024)”. Uluslararası Çevresel Eğilimler Dergisi, vol. 9, no. 1, 2025, pp. 15-24.
Vancouver Soydan O. Assessing Long-Term Climatic Shifts in a Transitional Zone: Isparta, Turkey (1929–2024). IJENT. 2025;9(1):15-24.

Environmental Engineering, Environmental Sustainability and Development, Industrial Waste Issues and Management, Global warming and Climate Change, Environmental Law, Environmental Developments and Legislation, Environmental Protection, Biotechnology and Environment, Fossil Fuels and Renewable Energy, Chemical Engineering, Civil Engineering, Geological Engineering, Mining Engineering, Agriculture Engineering, Biology, Chemistry, Physics,