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Trade and Investment Dynamics in South Africa: Implications for Environmental Sustainability

Year 2025, Volume: 7 Issue: 1, 17 - 34, 30.06.2025

Abstract

With climate change and environmental pollution worsening each year, especially developing countries are seeking to attract environmentally friendly foreign direct investment (FDI) while reducing dependence on imported energy. In countries like South Africa that rely heavily on coal and other fossil fuels, environmental pollution is increasing, sustainable development is being hampered and the importance of renewable energy sources is becoming more and more recognized. This study examines the relationships between renewable energy consumption, ecological footprint (EF), trade balance and FDI in South Africa over the period 1990-2021 using ARDL bounds test and finds that there is a long run cointegration relationship between these variables. The Toda-Yamamoto causality test results show that the variables affect each other in the long run; FDI, renewable energy consumption and trade balance affect EF, while EF and trade balance affect FDI. An increase in renewable energy consumption contributes to environmental improvement, while an improvement in the trade balance can reduce South Africa's EF. The study also suggests that the use of renewable energy can positively affect the trade balance and provides policy recommendations, constraints and suggestions for future research.

References

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Güney Afrika’da Ticaret ve Yatırım Dinamikleri: Çevresel Sürdürülebilirliğe Etkileri

Year 2025, Volume: 7 Issue: 1, 17 - 34, 30.06.2025

Abstract

iİklim değişikliği ve çevre kirliliğinin her geçen yıl daha da kötüleşmesiyle birlikte, özellikle gelişmekte olan ülkeler ithal enerjiye olan bağımlılıklarını azaltırken çevre dostu doğrudan yabancı yatırımları (DYY) çekmeye çalışmaktadır. Güney Afrika gibi büyük ölçüde kömür ve diğer fosil yakıtlara dayanan ülkelerde çevre kirliliği artmakta, sürdürülebilir kalkınma engellenmekte ve yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarının önemi giderek daha fazla kabul görmektedir. Bu çalışma, Güney Afrika'da 1990-2021 döneminde yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi, ekolojik ayak izi (EA), ticaret dengesi ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar arasındaki ilişkileri ARDL sınır testi kullanarak incelemekte ve bu değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir eşbütünleşme ilişkisi olduğunu tespit etmektedir. Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik testi sonuçları, değişkenlerin uzun vadede birbirlerini etkilediğini göstermektedir; DYY, yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi ve ticaret dengesi EA'yı etkilerken, EA ve ticaret dengesi DYY'yi etkilemektedir. Yenilenebilir enerji tüketimindeki bir artış çevresel iyileşmeye katkıda bulunurken, ticaret dengesindeki bir iyileşme Güney Afrika'nın EA'sını azaltabilir. Çalışma ayrıca yenilenebilir enerji kullanımının ticaret dengesini olumlu yönde etkileyebileceğini öne sürmekte ve gelecekteki araştırmalar için politika önerileri, kısıtlamalar ve öneriler sunmaktadır.

References

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  • Ansari, M. A., Haider, S., Kumar, P., Kumar, S., & Akram, V. (2022). Main determinants for ecological footprint: an econometric perspective from G20 countries. Energy, Ecology and Environment, 7(3), 250–267. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40974-022-00240-x
  • Ayamolowo, O. J., Manditereza, P. T., & Kusakana, K. (2022). South Africa power reforms: The Path to a dominant renewable energy-sourced grid. Energy Reports, 8, 1208–1215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2021.11.100
  • Bakari, S., & Mabrouki, M. (2017). Impact of exports and imports on economic growth: New evidence from Panama. Journal of Smart Economic Growth, 2(1), 67–79.
  • Buckley, P. J., & Strange, R. (2015). The Governance of the Global Factory: Location and Control of World Economic Activity. Academy of Management Perspectives, 29(2), 237–249. https://doi.org/10.5465/amp.2013.0113
  • Caglar, A. E., Guloglu, B., & Gedikli, A. (2022). Moving towards sustainable environmental development for BRICS: Investigating the asymmetric effect of natural resources on CO2. Sustainable Development, 30(5), 1313–1325. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2318
  • Çağlayan, E., & Saçaklı, İ. (2006). Satın alma gücü paritesinin geçerliliğinin sıfır frekansta spektrum tahmincisine dayanan birim kök testleri ile incelenmesi. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 20(1), 121–137.
  • Chen, B., Chen, G. Q., Yang, Z. F., & Jiang, M. M. (2007). Ecological footprint accounting for energy and resource in China. Energy Policy, 35(3), 1599–1609. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2006.04.019
  • Chen, Y., Wang, Z., & Zhong, Z. (2019). CO2 emissions, economic growth, renewable and non-renewable energy production and foreign trade in China. Renewable Energy, 131, 208–216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2018.07.047
  • Christoforidis, T., & Katrakilidis, C. (2021). The dynamic role of institutional quality, renewable and non-renewable energy on the ecological footprint of OECD countries: do institutions and renewables function as leverage points for environmental sustainability? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(38), 53888–53907. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-13877-8
  • Destek, M. A., & Sinha, A. (2020). Renewable, non-renewable energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness and ecological footprint: Evidence from organisation for economic Co-operation and development countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 242, 118537. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118537
  • Dhrifi, A., Jaziri, R., & Alnahdi, S. (2020). Does foreign direct investment and environmental degradation matter for poverty? Evidence from developing countries. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 52, 13–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2019.09.008
  • Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236
  • Footprintnetwork. (2024). Country Trends. https://data.footprintnetwork.org/#/countryTrends?cn=202&type=BCtot,EFCtot
  • Ghauri, P., Strange, R., & Cooke, F. L. (2021). Research on international business: The new realities. International Business Review, 30(2), 101794. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2021.101794
  • Idroes, G. M., Hardi, I., Rahman, Md. H., Afjal, M., Noviandy, T. R., & Idroes, R. (2024). The dynamic impact of non-renewable and renewable energy on carbon dioxide emissions and ecological footprint in Indonesia. Carbon Research, 3(1), 35. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44246-024-00117-0
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  • Jebli, B. M., Youssef, B. S., & Ozturk, I. (2016). Testing environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: The role of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and trade in OECD countries. Ecological Indicators, 60, 824–831. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.08.031
  • Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration— with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2), 169–210. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.1990.mp52002003.x
  • Joshua, U., & Alola, A. A. (2020). Accounting for environmental sustainability from coal-led growth in South Africa: the role of employment and FDI. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(15), 17706–17716. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08146-z
  • Karataş, A. R., & Ergül, M. (2023). Türkiye’de Ekonomik Büyüme, Finansal Gelişme ve Ticari Açıklık: Genişletilmiş ARDL ile Kanıtlar. Journal of Necmettin Erbakan University Faculty of Political Sciences, 5, 222–236.
  • Khan, Z. U., Ahmad, M., & Khan, A. (2020). On the remittances-environment led hypothesis: Empirical evidence from BRICS economies. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(14), 16460–16471. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-07999-8
  • Kisswani, K. M., & Zaitouni, M. (2021). Does FDI affect environmental degradation? Examining pollution haven and pollution halo hypotheses using ARDL modelling. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 28(4), 1406–1432. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2021.1949086
  • Kızılgöl, Ö. A., & Öndes, H. (2021). Savunma Harcamaları ile Ekonomik Büyüme arasındaki İlişki: NATO Ülkeleri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz. In A. N. Ozker (Ed.), İşletme ve İktisadi Bilimler Araştırma ve Teori (pp. 195–222). Livre de Lyon.
  • Koç, Ş., Mercan, B., & Gömleksiz, M. (2023). Türkiye’de Bilgi Taşmaları ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı. Necmettin Erbakan Üniversitesi Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi Dergisi, 5(Özel Sayı), 207–221.
  • Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C. B., Schmidt, P., & Shin, Y. (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root. Journal of Econometrics, 54(1–3), 159–178. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(92)90104-Y
  • Mahmood, H., Alkhateeb, T. T. Y., & Furqan, M. (2020). Exports, imports, Foreign Direct Investment and CO2 emissions in North Africa: Spatial analysis. Energy Reports, 6, 2403–2409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2020.08.038
  • Merem, E. C., Twumasi, Y. A., Wesley, J., Olagbegi, D., Crisler, M., Romorno, C., Alsarari, M., Isokpehi, P., Alrefai, M., Ochai, S., Nwagboso, E., Fageir, S., & Leggett, S. (2021). The Assessment of China’s Scramble for Natural Resources Extraction in Africa. World Environment, 11(1), 9–25. https://doi.org/10.5923/j.env.20211101.02
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There are 62 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Environmental Economy, International Corporation, International Economics (Other)
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Hasan Harmancı 0000-0002-5852-2667

Hasan Umutlu 0000-0002-2604-3573

Publication Date June 30, 2025
Submission Date October 25, 2024
Acceptance Date April 16, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 7 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Harmancı, H., & Umutlu, H. (2025). Trade and Investment Dynamics in South Africa: Implications for Environmental Sustainability. Necmettin Erbakan Üniversitesi Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi Dergisi, 7(1), 17-34.

Journal of Necmettin Erbakan University Faculty of Political Sciences is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY NC).