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TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR

Year 2025, Volume: 15 Issue: 29, 58 - 81, 26.06.2025

Süleyman Yurtkuran , Uğur Korkut Pata , Sinan Erdoğan , Güray Akalin

Abstract

Dünyada küreselleşme faaliyetleriyle birlikte ekonomik büyüme hızı artmaya başlamıştır. Ancak ekonomik büyümeyle birlikte aşırı kaynak tüketimi ve artan emisyonlar gibi çevresel olumsuzluklar ortaya çıkmıştır. Çevresel olumsuzluklar ve kaygılar küresel dünyanın sürdürülebilir büyüme kavramına odaklanmasına neden olmuştur. Bu çalışmada sürdürülebilir büyüme kapsamında Türkiye için 1961Q1 ile 2022Q4 yılları arasında çevre kirliliği ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki çevresel Kuznets eğrisi (ÇKE) ve yük kapasitesi eğrisi (YKE) hipotezleriyle analiz edilmiştir. Bunun için çalışmada çapraz kantilogram yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Bulgular, kısa dönemde ekonomik büyümedeki artışın karbondioksit emisyonlarını ve ekolojik ayak izini artırdığını, yük kapasitesi faktörünü azalttığını ve uzun dönemde ekonomik büyümenin çevre kalitesini artırdığını göstermektedir. Bu sonuçlar Türkiye’de ÇKE ve YKE hipotezlerinin geçerli olduğunu belirtmektedir. Çalışmada Türkiye için sürdürülebilir çevresel büyüme stratejilerinin dönemlere göre farklılaştırılması gerektiği vurgulanmaktadır.

Keywords

LCC EKC Türkiye Çapraz Kantilogram

References

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INVESTIGATING THE EKC VE LCC HYPOTHESES FOR TÜRKİYE: EVIDENCE FROM CROSS QUANTILOGRAM TEST

Year 2025, Volume: 15 Issue: 29, 58 - 81, 26.06.2025

Süleyman Yurtkuran , Uğur Korkut Pata , Sinan Erdoğan , Güray Akalin

Abstract

The rate of economic growth has started to increase with globalization activities in the world. However, environmental negativities such as excessive resource consumption and increased emissions have emerged with economic growth. Environmental negativities and concerns have led the global world to focus on the concept of sustainable growth. Within the scope of sustainable growth, this study analyzes the relationship between environmental pollution and economic growth for Türkiye between 1961Q1 and 2022Q4 with the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) and load capacity curve (LCC) hypotheses. For this, the study uses the cross-quantilogram method. The findings show that the increase in economic growth in the short-term increases carbon dioxide emissions and ecological footprint, decreases the load capacity factor, and in the long term, economic growth increases environmental quality. These results indicate that the EKC and LCC hypotheses are valid in Türkiye. The study emphasizes that sustainable environmental growth strategies for Türkiye should be differentiated according to periods.

Keywords

LCC EKC Türkiye Cross Quantilogram

References

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  • Durmaz, N., & Lee, J. (2015). An empirical analysis of import demand function for Turkey: an ARDL bounds testing approach. The Journal of Developing Areas, 49(4), 215-226.
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  • Erat, S., & Telli, A. (2020). Within the global circular economy: a special case of turkey towards energy transition. MRS Energy Sustain 7 (1): 1–10.
  • Erdogan, S. (2024). On the impact of natural resources on environmental sustainability in African countries: a comparative approach based on the EKC and LCC hypotheses. Resources Policy, 88, 104492.
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  • Ha, N. T. T., Johari, S. M., Thuong, T. T. H., Phuong, N. T. M., & Anh, L. T. H. (2020). The impact of innovation on economic growth: the spillover effect of foreign direct investment. Humanities & Social Sciences Reviews, 8(2), 708-714.
  • Han, H., Linton, O., Oka, T., & Whang, Y. J. (2016). The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series. Journal of Econometrics, 193(1), 251-270.
  • Hakkak, M., Altintaş, N., & Hakkak, S. (2023). Exploring the relationship between nuclear and renewable energy usage, ecological footprint, and load capacity factor: A study of the Russian Federation testing the EKC and LCC hypothesis. Renewable Energy Focus, 46, 356-366.
  • Hervieux, M. S., & Darné, O. (2016). Production and consumption-based approaches for the environmental Kuznets curve using ecological footprint. Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, 5(3), 318-334.
  • Iwata, H., Okada, K., & Samreth, S. (2010). Empirical study on the environmental Kuznets curve for CO2 in France: the role of nuclear energy. Energy Policy, 38(8), 4057-4063.
  • Jin, X., Ahmed, Z., Pata, U. K., Kartal, M. T., & Erdogan, S. (2024). Do investments in green energy, energy efficiency, and nuclear energy R&D improve the load capacity factor? An augmented ARDL approach. Geoscience Frontiers, 15(4), 101646.
  • Khan, K. A., Hamid, A., Sharif, A., Syed, Q. R., & Anwar, A. (2025). Impact of adaptation technologies and green energy on environmental quality: Evidence from G8 economies. Gondwana Research, 139, 230-242.
  • Koenker, R., & Hallock, K. F. (2001). Quantile regression. Journal of economic perspectives, 15(4), 143-156.
  • Kohler, M. (2013). CO2 emissions, energy consumption, income and foreign trade: A South African perspective. Energy Policy, 63, 1042-1050.
  • Linton, O., & Whang, Y. J. (2007). The quantilogram: With an application to evaluating directional predictability. Journal of Econometrics, 141(1), 250-282.
  • Marques, A. C., Fuinhas, J. A., & Leal, P. A. (2018). The impact of economic growth on CO2 emissions in Australia: the environmental Kuznets curve and the decoupling index. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25, 27283-27296.
  • Martinez-Alier, J. (1995). The environment as a luxury good or “too poor to be green”?. Ecological Economics, 13(1), 1-10.
  • Masron, T. A., & Subramaniam, Y. (2018). The environmental Kuznets curve in the presence of corruption in developing countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25, 12491-12506.
  • McBain, B., Lenzen, M., Wackernagel, M., & Albrecht, G. (2017). How long can global ecological overshoot last? In B. McBain, M. Lenzen, M. Wackernagel, & G. Albrecht, Global and Planetary Change (Vol. 155, p. 13). Elsevier BV. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.06.002
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There are 75 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Growth
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Süleyman Yurtkuran 0000-0002-7085-9203

Uğur Korkut Pata 0000-0002-2853-4106

Sinan Erdoğan 0000-0003-3491-8234

Güray Akalin 0000-0002-6647-5418

Publication Date June 26, 2025
Submission Date January 9, 2025
Acceptance Date April 10, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 15 Issue: 29

Cite

APA Yurtkuran, S., Pata, U. K., Erdoğan, S., Akalin, G. (2025). TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR. Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 15(29), 58-81.
AMA Yurtkuran S, Pata UK, Erdoğan S, Akalin G. TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR. KTÜSBD. June 2025;15(29):58-81.
Chicago Yurtkuran, Süleyman, Uğur Korkut Pata, Sinan Erdoğan, and Güray Akalin. “TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR”. Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 15, no. 29 (June 2025): 58-81.
EndNote Yurtkuran S, Pata UK, Erdoğan S, Akalin G (June 1, 2025) TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR. Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 15 29 58–81.
IEEE S. Yurtkuran, U. K. Pata, S. Erdoğan, and G. Akalin, “TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR”, KTÜSBD, vol. 15, no. 29, pp. 58–81, 2025.
ISNAD Yurtkuran, Süleyman et al. “TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR”. Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 15/29 (June 2025), 58-81.
JAMA Yurtkuran S, Pata UK, Erdoğan S, Akalin G. TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR. KTÜSBD. 2025;15:58–81.
MLA Yurtkuran, Süleyman et al. “TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR”. Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, vol. 15, no. 29, 2025, pp. 58-81.
Vancouver Yurtkuran S, Pata UK, Erdoğan S, Akalin G. TÜRKİYE İÇİN ÇKE VE YKE HİPOTEZLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI: ÇAPRAZ KANTİLOGRAM TESTİNDEN KANITLAR. KTÜSBD. 2025;15(29):58-81.

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