Öz
This paper examines the relationship between the structure of manufacturing production/trade and industrial development and tests whether there is structural convergence, i.e., whether the industrial structures of developed and developing countries are becoming similar. Our results suggest that there is a strong relationship between industrial structure and growth. We also show that the industrial structures of developed and developing countries change over time but do not converge, i.e. the "polarized" structure of the world economy persists despite changes in industrial structure.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Industrial structure technology structural convergence factor analysis.
Kaynakça
- Abegaz, B. (2002). Structural Convergence in Manufacturing Industries Between Leaders and Latecomers. Journal of Development Studies, 38(4): 69-99.
- Amsden, A. (2001). The Rise of the Rest: Challenges to the West from Late Industrialising Economies. New York: Oxford University Press.
- Bako Ousmane, Ali. (2022). Structural Convergence and Its Impacts on Trade and Growth in African Countries. PhD Thesis, Marmara Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü İktisat Ana Bilim Dalı.
- Cornwall, C. & Cornwall, W. (2002). A demand and Supply Analysis of Productivity Growth. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 13: 203-229.
- Fagerberg, J. (2002). Technology, Growth and Competitiveness: Selected Essays. UK: Edward Elgar.
- Johnson, P. & Papageorgiou, C. (2020). What Remains of Cross-Country Convergence? Journal of Economic Literature, 58(1): 129–175.
- Kremer, M., J. Willis & Y. You (2022). “Converging to Convergence, NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 36: 337-412.
- Krugman, P. R. (1995). Technical Change in International Trade. in P. Stoneman (eds), Handbook of Economics of Innovation and Technical Change, Oxford. Blackwell.
- Lall, S. (2000a). The Technological Structure and Performance of Developing Country Manufactured Exports, 1985-98. Oxford Development Studies, 28(3): 337-69.
- Lall, S. (2000b). Turkish Performance in Exporting Manufactures: A Comparative Structural Analysis. QEH Working Paper Series, QEHWP47.
- Mandel, E. (1975). Late Capitalism. London: Verso. [Türkçe baskı: Geç Kapitalizm, Çev. Candan Badem, 2013, Versus Kitap]
- Mandel, E. (1978). Long Waves of Capitalist Development:A Marxist Interpretation. New York: Cambridge University Press. [Türkçe baskı: Kapitalist Gelişmenin Uzun Dalgaları, Çev. Doğan Işık, 1991, Yazın Yayıncılık]
- Montobbio, F. and Rampa, F. (2005). The Impact of Technology and Structural Change on Export Performance on Nine Developing Countries. World Development, 33(4): 527-547.
- OECD (1992). Technology and Industrial Performance, Paris: OECD.
- OECD (1996). Industrial Policy in OECD Countries: Annual Review 1992, Paris: OECD.
- Palan, N. & Schmiedeberg, C. (2010). Structural Convergence of European Countries. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 21(2): 85-100.
- Rencher, A. C. (2002). Methods of Multivariate Analysis. 2nd ed., Canada: John Wiley & Sons.
- Smith, R.P. (2024). Econometric Aspects of Convergence: A Survey. Open Economies Review, 35: 701–721.
- Thirlwall, A. P. (1999). Growth and Development: With Special Reference to Developing Economies. 6th ed., Londıon: Macmillan Press. Thirlwall, A. P. (2002). The Nature of Economic Growth. London: Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Türel, O. (2003). Dünyada sanayileşme deneyimi: Geçmiş Çeyrek Yüzyıl (1975-2000) ve Gelecek için Beklentiler. in A.H.Köse, F. Şenses, E. Yeldan, (eds.), Küresel Düzen, Birikim, Devlet ve Sınıflar. İstanbul: İletişim Yayınları.
- Wacziarg, R. (2004). Structural Convergence. CDDRL Working Papers No 8, Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, Stanford Institute for International Studies, Stanford University.
Öz
Bu makale imalat üretiminin/ticaretinin yapısı ile endüstriyel gelişme arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemekte ve yapısal yakınsama olup olmadığını, yani gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin endüstriyel yapılarının benzer hale gelip gelmediğini test etmektedir. Sonuçlarımız, sanayi yapısı ile büyüme arasında güçlü bir ilişki olduğunu göstermektedir. Ayrıca, gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin sanayi yapılarının zaman içinde değiştiğini ancak yakınsamadığını, yani sanayi yapısındaki değişikliklere rağmen dünya ekonomisinin “kutuplaşmış” yapısının devam ettiğini gösteriyoruz.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- Abegaz, B. (2002). Structural Convergence in Manufacturing Industries Between Leaders and Latecomers. Journal of Development Studies, 38(4): 69-99.
- Amsden, A. (2001). The Rise of the Rest: Challenges to the West from Late Industrialising Economies. New York: Oxford University Press.
- Bako Ousmane, Ali. (2022). Structural Convergence and Its Impacts on Trade and Growth in African Countries. PhD Thesis, Marmara Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü İktisat Ana Bilim Dalı.
- Cornwall, C. & Cornwall, W. (2002). A demand and Supply Analysis of Productivity Growth. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 13: 203-229.
- Fagerberg, J. (2002). Technology, Growth and Competitiveness: Selected Essays. UK: Edward Elgar.
- Johnson, P. & Papageorgiou, C. (2020). What Remains of Cross-Country Convergence? Journal of Economic Literature, 58(1): 129–175.
- Kremer, M., J. Willis & Y. You (2022). “Converging to Convergence, NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 36: 337-412.
- Krugman, P. R. (1995). Technical Change in International Trade. in P. Stoneman (eds), Handbook of Economics of Innovation and Technical Change, Oxford. Blackwell.
- Lall, S. (2000a). The Technological Structure and Performance of Developing Country Manufactured Exports, 1985-98. Oxford Development Studies, 28(3): 337-69.
- Lall, S. (2000b). Turkish Performance in Exporting Manufactures: A Comparative Structural Analysis. QEH Working Paper Series, QEHWP47.
- Mandel, E. (1975). Late Capitalism. London: Verso. [Türkçe baskı: Geç Kapitalizm, Çev. Candan Badem, 2013, Versus Kitap]
- Mandel, E. (1978). Long Waves of Capitalist Development:A Marxist Interpretation. New York: Cambridge University Press. [Türkçe baskı: Kapitalist Gelişmenin Uzun Dalgaları, Çev. Doğan Işık, 1991, Yazın Yayıncılık]
- Montobbio, F. and Rampa, F. (2005). The Impact of Technology and Structural Change on Export Performance on Nine Developing Countries. World Development, 33(4): 527-547.
- OECD (1992). Technology and Industrial Performance, Paris: OECD.
- OECD (1996). Industrial Policy in OECD Countries: Annual Review 1992, Paris: OECD.
- Palan, N. & Schmiedeberg, C. (2010). Structural Convergence of European Countries. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 21(2): 85-100.
- Rencher, A. C. (2002). Methods of Multivariate Analysis. 2nd ed., Canada: John Wiley & Sons.
- Smith, R.P. (2024). Econometric Aspects of Convergence: A Survey. Open Economies Review, 35: 701–721.
- Thirlwall, A. P. (1999). Growth and Development: With Special Reference to Developing Economies. 6th ed., Londıon: Macmillan Press. Thirlwall, A. P. (2002). The Nature of Economic Growth. London: Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Türel, O. (2003). Dünyada sanayileşme deneyimi: Geçmiş Çeyrek Yüzyıl (1975-2000) ve Gelecek için Beklentiler. in A.H.Köse, F. Şenses, E. Yeldan, (eds.), Küresel Düzen, Birikim, Devlet ve Sınıflar. İstanbul: İletişim Yayınları.
- Wacziarg, R. (2004). Structural Convergence. CDDRL Working Papers No 8, Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, Stanford Institute for International Studies, Stanford University.
Ayrıntılar
| Birincil Dil | İngilizce |
|---|---|
| Konular | Bölgesel Çalışmalar |
| Bölüm | Araştırma Makalesi |
| Yazarlar | |
| Yayımlanma Tarihi | 1 Temmuz 2025 |
| Gönderilme Tarihi | 23 Mart 2025 |
| Kabul Tarihi | 8 Nisan 2025 |
| Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2025 Cilt: 23 Sayı: 90 |